Sep 7, 2012

Jobs Recovery Increasingly Uneven as Talent Gap Widens

In June, total job openings in the U.S. grew to 3.76 million, according to the Labor Department, the highest level since the summer of 2008. In the past 36 months, job openings have grown more than 70 percent, far surpassing the recovery following the last recession, in which job openings grew just 47 percent in the same time frame.

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate has fared worse in the 36 months following the current recession than in the previous one. Between September 2003 and September 2006, unemployment fell 25 percent from its peak, from 6 percent to 4.5 percent, while in the current recovery’s 36-month period, unemployment has fallen only 14 percent, from 9.6 to 8.3 percent. So where is the disconnect between job openings and falling unemployment rates?

“Enough confidence has returned to the market that most employers have lifted blanket hiring freezes and are expanding the range of positions they are working to fill outside of those directly tied to incremental revenue,” says Rob Romaine, president of MRINetwork. “We are seeing search activity growing across more functions, but actually making that final hiring decision among most employers has only increased slightly.”

Recruiters continue to report that hiring processes have been drawn out by managers having unrealistic expectations of candidate credentials and experience in the current unemployment situation. Yet, evidence shows that the top candidates such managers are looking for are more likely to reject offers the longer the hiring process becomes.

“In the recruiting industry, we talk a lot about the importance of having a streamlined interview and offer process regardless of the state of the economy because while there is high unemployment, there is also a growing talent mismatch in the United States. What this means is that while there are plenty who are unemployed, there are still very few who fit the needs of a given pasteurization in the professional space,” notes Romaine.

In nominal, non-adjusted numbers, total U.S. employment peaked in August 2008 and fell precipitously for 15 months, reversing course in January 2010. In that time, nearly 11.5 million jobs were eliminated. The professional and business services sector-about 13 percent of the U.S. private workforce-lost nearly 2 million of those jobs. The construction industry, which represented less than 7 percent of the private workforce, lost 3 million jobs from peak to trough.

In the two years since that employment trough, the professional services segment of the workforce has returned all but about 200,000 positions. In fact, the much broader U.S. service providing sector, which accounts for more than 80 percent of the 113 million U.S. private sector jobs, has recovered all but about 300,000 positions. Of the 4.2 million-job decline since the peak of U.S. employment, half of those positions-2.1 million-are in construction, and another 1.8 million are in manufacturing.

“With today’s levels of advanced training, certifications, and degrees it can be difficult to move between even similar career paths quickly,” says Romaine. “But going from a factory floor or construction site to a professional office job is such a fundamental change that it requires both training and a veritable career restart. Such a change of course is possible, but the availability of such workers does little for employers looking for experienced professionals today.”

It could take several more years for the mix of skills in the U.S. talent market to properly recalibrate. In that time, unemployment will remain heightened while the skills of the workforce move to more closely match the requirements of job openings today.

News/Insights

Dental Residents – How to Find a Job Coming Out of your AEGD or GPR Uncategorized

Dental Residents – How to Find a Job Coming Out of your AEGD or GPR

Jan 3, 2014

Congratulations! After spending your whole life in school and residency you can finally see the end in sight. Now it is time to start putting all that education to use but fin...

Grow Your Practice in the Upcoming Year with a Business Plan Uncategorized

Grow Your Practice in the Upcoming Year with a Business Plan

Nov 14, 2012

The theme of my articles around this time of year always revolves around planning and goal setting. Like it or not, we are just 45 days away from the end of 2012. It’s in th...

Will My New Associate Be Here in 6 Months? Uncategorized

Will My New Associate Be Here in 6 Months?

Oct 11, 2012

As recruiters, we are frequently asked, “What is your success rate?”We took a look at the placement history of more than 1,200 placements we've made between our two niches...

Longer Tenures Create Opportunities for Workers and Challenges for Employers Uncategorized

Longer Tenures Create Opportunities for Workers and Challenges for Employers

Oct 8, 2012

It’s become gospel in recent years that workers jump from job to job to job. Some reports say that the average person entering the workforce today will go through as many as...

Snapping on the Job Uncategorized

Snapping on the Job

Sep 19, 2012

I know what you are thinking; this blog is geared at the eye care field, not our postal service.  You are correct, of course.  But the “snapping” that I am refer...

Moving This Summer? Uncategorized

Moving This Summer?

Jun 13, 2012

Now that summer is upon us, you may be preparing to move - and one of the most significant challenges is likely the relocation of children. Our friends at FAS ...

Three Years After Recession a Long-Tail Emerges Uncategorized

Three Years After Recession a Long-Tail Emerges

Jun 1, 2012

As Tolstoy famously said, “The strongest of all warriors are these two – time and patience.” On the tail end of fighting through the longest recession in the memories of...

Thank You Note Uncategorized

Thank You Note

May 17, 2012

Post Interview Tip:It’s simple, quick, leaves a lasting impression and makes a significant difference in who gets an offer of employment. Research indicates that only 20% o...

As Job Market Improves, Candidates Notice Uncategorized

As Job Market Improves, Candidates Notice

May 7, 2012

In the depths of the recession, as unemployment rates were rising and everyone knew someone who was being affected, "It's better than no job at all" became a common refrain ac...

Five Things to Consider Before and After Writing a Cover Letter Uncategorized

Five Things to Consider Before and After Writing a Cover Letter

May 2, 2012

BEFORE:1. SpecificityResearch the practice to which you are applying. Address the doctors, staff, or hiring authority by name. If possible, at some point in your letter you c...